IJE Advance Access originally published online on April 30, 2007
International Journal of Epidemiology 2007 36(2):384-386; doi:10.1093/ije/dym054
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Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association © The Author 2007; all rights reserved.
Commentary: Epidemiologic transition interrupted or sweep to the second stage of health transition?
Institut National dEtudes Démographiques, 133 Boulevard Davout, Paris cedex 20, France. E-mail: vallin@ined.fr
Accepted 22 February 2007
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Do it twice and you will get different results. That's a very common law when measuring demographic indicators in developing countries where current statistics are incomplete. And it is very likely that the third time will give yet another result! It is not enough to make good demographers despair. It even presents a good opportunity to outstanding specialists like the authors of Epidemiologic transition interrupted: a reassessment of mortality trends in Thailand1 to try to approach the true measure of mortality in such a country. To approach, not to reach absolutely, of course. Indeed, several questions still await answers. But the most questionable aspect of the results presented here is not to what extent reassessment fits the reality but to what extent trends reassessed justify the main title: Epidemiologic transition interrupted.
The work done by the authors of the article significantly improves our knowledge about recent trends in Thai mortality.
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