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© 1981 Oxford University Press

research-article

Risk of Dying from Tuberculosis or Cancer: Further Aspects of a Possible Association

ALEXANDER J MERCER*

*From The University of London

Present Address: 172 Westbourne Parke Road, London W11.

Mercer AJ [172 Westbourne park Road, London W11] Risk of dying from tuberculosis or cancer: further aspects of a possible association. International Journal of Epidemiology1981, 10: 377–380.

Successive cohorts of people born in different periods since 1850 having been living longer, but the proportion in each cohort dying from cancer has increased considerably, while the proportion dying from tuberculosis has declined in such a way as to offset the increased risk of dying from cancer. Thus for successive birth cohorts the proportion dying from either disease has remained constant and this phenomenon has been found for Wales, Scotland and lreland separately and for Pennsylvania-New Jersey for which data are available from 1860, as well as for England and Wales. The findings are discussed in relation to a working hypothesis that a proportion of any population may be less equipped immunologically to cope with infection with tubercle bacillus and that this deficiency may put them at risk of dying from cancer later in life.

Received 22 November 1979


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