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© 1981 Oxford University Press

research-article

Finding Causes of Seasonal Diseases Using Time Series Analysis

CAMERON BOWIE* and DAVID PROTHERO*

*Somerset Area Health Authority, County HallTaunton, Somerset

Bowie C [Somerset Area Health Authority, County Hall, Taunton, Somerset] and Prothero D. Finding causes of seasonal diseases using time series analysis. International Journal of Epidemiology 1981, 10: 87–92.The relationship between monthly Ischaemic Heart Disease morality and mean monthly temperature and rainfall is examined using data for England and Wales covering the period 1968 to 1976. The statistical procedure adopted involves a time series analysis of each of the individual series employing an approach which has become increasingly popular in other sciences over the last decade.Results indicate the correlation coefficients quoted in previous studies involving monthly data are spuriously high implying that temperature is not as closely related to Ischaemic Heart Disease deaths as has often been clai

Revised 14 August 1980


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