IJE Advance Access originally published online on October 1, 2004
International Journal of Epidemiology 2005 34(3):526-529; doi:10.1093/ije/dyh223
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Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association © The Author 2004; all rights reserved.
Commentary |
Commentary: The pitfalls of policy history. Writing the past to change the present
Cambridge Groups for the History of Population and Social Structure, Cambridge University, CB2 3EN, UK. E-mail: srjdavid@aol.com
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Dr Thomas McKeown was probably the most influential and most controversial health historian of his generation, at least in the English-speaking world.
His fame was the result of a radical simplification of health history that can be summarized as follows. For most of human history mortality was high and life expectancy low (between 20 and 30 years at birth) because most people were too poor, and therefore too poorly nourished, to resist the relentless onslaughts of disease, particularly infectious disease. In 18th century Western Europe, agricultural development increased the food supply and let ordinary people buy more and better food. Better nutrition increased their resistance to infectious disease, and reduced death rates, all without the assistance of medical care. It took another century (i.e. 1870) before public health and the decline of fertility made a complementary but still minor contribution to the continuing, nutrition-driven decline of mortality. Thus, if the
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