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IJE Advance Access published online on February 14, 2008

International Journal of Epidemiology, doi:10.1093/ije/dyn017
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Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association © The Author 2008; all rights reserved.

Estimating the global disease burden due to ultraviolet radiation exposure

Robyn M Lucas1,*, Anthony J McMichael1, Bruce K Armstrong2 and Wayne T Smith3

1 National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National University, Australia.
2 Sydney Cancer Centre, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, and School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, Australia.
3 Centre for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Newcastle University, Australia.

* Corresponding author. National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Building 62, The Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia. E-mail: robyn.lucas{at}anu.edu.au


   Abstract

Background WHO's global burden of disease studies, undertaken since 1996, apportion the total global disease burden, measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), to specific diseases and injuries. Recent assessments of the relative burden due to specific environmental risk factors, plus an understanding of the nature of the risk factor, may guide resource allocation in risk factor management. We report here the global disease burden due to ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure.

Methods A systematic literature review identified nine diseases with sufficient evidence of a causal relationship with UVR exposure and for which the population attributable fraction (PAF) for UVR could be estimated. For cutaneous malignant melanoma and cataract, the PAF was directly applied to disease burdens already calculated by WHO. For seven other diseases, we developed population-level exposure–disease relationships and used these to calculate disease incidence and mortality, and thence disease burden. We also estimated the disease burden from rickets, osteomalacia and osteoporosis that might result if global UVR exposure was reduced to very low levels.

Results UVR exposure is a minor contributor to the world's disease burden, causing an estimated annual loss of 1.6 million DALYs; i.e. 0.1% of the total global disease burden. A markedly larger annual disease burden, 3.3 billion DALYs, might result from reduction in global UVR exposure to very low levels.

Conclusions Sun protection messages are important to prevent diseases of UVR exposure. However, without high dietary (or supplemental) intake of vitamin D, some sun exposure is essential to avoid diseases of vitamin D insufficiency.

Keywords Ultraviolet rays, risk assessment, vitamin D, skin cancer, eye diseases, world health, environmental exposures

Accepted 14 January 2008


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