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International Journal of Epidemiology 2001;30:1415-1425
© International Epidemiological Association 2001


Cancer

Oesophageal and gastric cardia adenocarcinomas: analysis of regional variation using the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents database

Douglas A Corleya,b,c and Patricia A Bufflera

a School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley;
b Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco;
c Gastroenterology Clinical, Outcomes Research, and Epidemiology Group, University of California, San Francisco. USA.

Douglas A Corley, S-357, UCSF, Box 0538, San Francisco, CA 94143–0538, USA. E-mail: corley{at}itsa.ucsf.edu

Abstract

Background Adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and proximal stomach are the most rapidly increasing malignancies in some countries; however, there are no comparative studies on global disease incidence, and the relationships between these two malignancies are undefined.

Methods We evaluated the cumulative rates and age-specific incidence rates per 100 000 population for adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and proximal stomach for all countries in the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents database, and compared them with rates for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Results Substantial variations in cumulative cancer rates were found between genders, between countries, between different ethnicities within the same country, and within the same ethnicity residing in different countries. Cumulative rates (ages 0–74 years) for oesophageal adenocarcinoma varied from 0 (e.g. Thailand) to 0.6 (Scotland, males, 95% CI : 0.56, 0.64); for proximal stomach cancer from 0 (Singapore, Malay females, 95% CI : –0.01, 0.11) to 0.52 (The Netherlands, males, 95% CI : 0.49, 0.55); and for oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas from 0 (non-Jews in Israel, females) to 1.84 (Brazil, Porto Alegre, males, 95% CI : 1.42, 2.26). There was a continuous increase in age-specific incidence rates with advancing age for oesophageal/proximal stomach adenocarcinomas, but a decrease in age-specific incidence rates for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma after age 75 years. The cumulative rate trends for adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and proximal stomach were often dissimilar, and varied by country, gender, and ethnicity.

Conclusions These results suggest that different risk factors may be associated with adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus versus the proximal stomach; the marked rate variation implies a substantial environmental component to the recent incidence changes.

Keywords Oesophageal cancer, oesophageal adenocarcinoma, gastric cardia adenocarcinoma, cancer incidence, epidemiology

Accepted 15 February 2001


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